Fire OblationTier 2
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-2-2
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.7%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1206
· median 1206
· range 1206–1206
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1236
Q3 1435
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 56.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
